Skip to content
Read

The written record.

Comfortable summaries of every document — with clear labels distinguishing framework proposals from forecast assumptions.

White paper · framework proposal

Class of 2040 — White Paper

40–55 minPublic Draft 1.0
Download

The full editorial statement of the framework.

Summary

  • One central argument: school must build a mind capable of standing without AI, and a person capable of accomplishing far more with it.
  • A two-part architecture — Foundations and Studios — joined in a flywheel.
  • A six-part graduate profile, a developmental progression for AI use, a new three-column transcript, and a staged 2027 → 2040 roadmap.
  • Explicitly scenario-robust: the education argument survives even if the forecast is wrong.

Kind of document: Framework proposal — the argument, not a forecast of the world.

Planning baseline · not a prediction

Adam Brotman 2040 Forecast Baseline

25–35 minVersion 1.0 · July 2026
Download

A deliberately realistic-but-transformative 2040 scenario used as a planning input.

Summary

  • Expert-level AI is ubiquitous; the capability curve stays steep while the economic curve remains S-shaped.
  • ~55% conventional employment, ~25% agent-leveraged independents, ~20% non-market work.
  • Scarcity relocates down the stack to compute, energy, chips, land, trust, and human attention.
  • Politics determines distribution — broad prosperity is possible but not automatic.

Kind of document: Forecast assumptions — a stress test, not a claim of certainty.

Presentation · 18 slides

The keynote deck — v3

10–15 minPublic Draft 1.0
Download

The compressed argument as delivered in the keynote.

Summary

  • 18 chapters — from the central thesis through the roadmap and closing.
  • Meant to be read alongside the white paper for supporting detail.

Kind of document: Framework proposal in short form.

A polished, in-browser reader with sticky table-of-contents and per-section margin notes is planned for the next revision. For now the full documents are downloadable as Word files and summarized above.